By: Ahmed ELNAHAS – Montopoli, July 24th 2013.
The
international reluctance in finding ways to stop the Syrian bloodshed, and the limitation
of its support for the population within the diplomatic brackets, are clearly the result of awaiting the outcome of the Big Guys (Usa and Russia) prolonged
tactical game of twisting arms. Because the long time rivals stands, in this
new phase of the resurrected Cold War, are not quit
openly defined.
The United
States options are:
1. A
full scale military intervention to occupy the entire Syrian territory and
install a favourable administration, same as Pakistan,
Iraq and Afghanistan.. Obviously it would be too costly
logistically and humanly.
2. A
limited indirect intervention (aka the Libyan scenario) to arm and train fractions
of the self proclaimed Free Army in order to fortify its territorial positions
and create buffer zones along the northern and southern borders to ease the
flow of arms and other technical assistance efforts.
Obviously
the US Congress favours the second option being
very cost effective, and already run-in with optimal results in the Libyan
theatre. Moreover, such option will buy the time needed to: a) ware-out the Iranian economy (since Iran is committed to sustain a continuous flow
of finance and armaments, Russian and Chinese, for Syrian armed forces and
Hezb’Allah militias to maintain Assad in power), and b) to allow the rebellion forces the
best possible chances for seizing better territorial gains before going to
Geneva II; thus to have a better negotiation edge.
On their
side also Russia and Iran are aiming for the same objective: to allow Assad’s
army the time necessary to make significant territorial gains as to strengthen
his negotiating position when the time comes for the Geneva II conference.
But the undeclared
US end goal, and most important target achievable through this tactical game,
is to aggravate the Syrian and regional sectarian, cultural, ethnic and
religious conflicts in order to provide the legal excuse for creating a kind of
a Federation consisted of small territorial divisions.. Same as Iraq and Libya;
and which they are still trying to implement in Afghanistan.
For such
an objective the US Congress will never be avaricious; especially that in the
meantime Israel will continue its expansive occupation all over the rest of the
once called Palestine.
Yet a lot
in the region still doubt the veracity of a United States plan to dismember the
Arab, and Muslim, states in the making of the New Middle East*.
Pass On The Word.
*reference is
made to my article “What’s the Plan?” of September
2012.. If interested check it out on my blog http://haalitheoracle.blogspot.it/
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