A classic case study for a perfect No-Win Situation.. Where everybody is a loser and everything is lost.. From dignity to wealth, passing by sovereignty and freedom!!¿¿!!
The ongoing conflict raging between the two most conservative institutions: the “Military” represented by SCAF, and the “Brotherhood” tagged on the face of the Elected President, over the reigns of power shows without the faintest shred of a doubt that neither part is truly seeking “Democracy” or “Freedom”.. They both are seeking POWER.. One to keep it and the other to taste it.
Let’s never forget that SCAF was assigned by MUBARAK himself shortly before his fall.. As such it is following a specific agenda now very clear to who wants to see, yet very much denied by the profiteer who wants to draw in substantial quick war gains out of it regardless of where the nation’s real interests are.
SCAF actually, and in flagrant conflict of interest, have exercised pressure over the extreme juridical authority in the country to earn a series of verdicts consolidating its political grip on power.. Before that it has done everything to influence the outcome of the various committees assigned to draw the New Constitution’s outlines.. It ensured itself the Four Sovereign Ministries portfolios, and extorted a text denying the President the title and functions of the “Supreme Commander of The Armed Forces”.. In poor words the Military Institution declared itself the sole custodian of the nation’s SOVEREIGNTY thus reports only to itself.. Not to the person for whom the Egyptians voted, or would vote in future, to become “their” President.. Not SCAF’s!
SCAF didn’t “return to the barracks” and didn’t fulfil any of its void promises for “Freedom” and “Democracy” in a “SOVEREIGN CIVIL STATE”.
On the other hand we have the “Brotherhood”, with its long history of political failures and demagogic wins.. As a religiously founded association, it is structured upon two pillars:
1. a severely observed patriarchal hierarchy, and
2. an absolute obedience to the Supreme Guide.
As such the Brotherhood was always the victim of its own delays in monitoring social, cultural and political signs; and consequently deducting the wrong conclusions having analysed those signs only according to its cultural perspective. That’s why they were always few steps behind, because the Brotherhood’s organisation does not foresee any kind of “Democratic” practice.. Islam’s principle of “Shoura” is a social Utopia that cannot be exercised in our present day, and if so would result in a political chaos.. Same as the “Islamic Banking” practice squeezed between its ideal values of honest profits as designed by the doctrine and the usurer Global Financial and Monetary systems founded on profits by interests and control by debt.
The danger is that both, SCAF and the Brotherhood, while engaged in the struggle over who’s got it longer; may not only divide the nation into opposing red-necks weak fractions, but as well could eventually drag it into an irresponsible and uncontrollable bloody confrontation which will entail the international intervention through “Humanitarian Aids” which by now we should know they have nothing human in their missions, but rather they represent the spear-head for a more blunt Economic colonialism if not a Military one.. Have we forgot Iraq, Libya, Yemen, Afghanistan, Sudan, and now Syria and before all Somalia, Vietnam, and Korea?? They were all preys of the (in)famous political slogan: “Divide and Rule”. Wasn’t that the script for every “Humanitarian Aids” intervention?
Are SCAF and the Brotherhood aware of the trap they both are falling into? Are they knowledgeable of the fact that they are not going down alone, but they are taking the entire nation along to God knows where?
Only History will provide the answer..
Yet remain two interrogatives worth of a very concise reflection: “Why and What for such a short-sighted conflict is being kept alive?” I will synthesise my opinion and try to outline the answer through the following lines.
Could the answer to both questions be ‘..to guarantee a constant Egyptian “Moderate” and “Friendly” political stand, and consequently to ensure the continuity of its status as a “Strategic Ally of the USA outside NATO” translated into an endless dependency to the Dollar cash flow support injected into an ever agonising Egyptian economy weakened precisely and on purpose as a result of that Moderation and a price for that Friendship?’?
And who would benefit more from the politically Moderate stand of Egypt? Definitely not the eighty and some million Egyptians struggling every day to make ends meet with no guarantee whatsoever for a better tomorrow; but rather the USA, Israel, SCAF and few hundreds of profiteering parasites just the same as it always have been throughout sixty years of Military Dictatorship Rule preceded by hundreds of years of Foreign Colonial Rule.. Could it have become another type of dependency in our collective conscious??? I wonder!
The question is no longer “Who will win that conflict over power in Egypt to become its next adored Dictator?”..
But rather “What will be the political, economical, social and cultural situation when the dust settles and when all parties involved in that conflict will be weakened, overwhelmed and fragmented into defenceless and meaningless realities?”..
The bitter fact is that “Dictatorship” have always been an integral part of our social, cultural, economic and political education.. We passed from the hands of one dictator into the other without remorse and by the most appalling submissive acceptance. The sequence of those educating dictators starts in early stages by the “Father”, the “Tribe Leader”, the “Teacher”, the “Employer”, the “Imam” and the “Priest”, the “Journalist”, the “Doctor” and so on.. All forming an uninterrupted solid chain of individuals who are constantly giving orders by which we must abide.. Or else...!! All are Dictators denying us every margin of freedom or autonomy, and revoking every aspect of democracy from free expression to decision making passing by debating opinions and tollerating the other.
Having clarified that, my question is: “How and When will we, the Egyptian people, realise that only we can earn our package of Freedom, Sovereignty and Democracy?”..
If ever we will!!Pass On The Word.